2026 Agri-food commodity markets outlook for retail grocers.
It may still be early days in 2026, but global commodity markets are bracing for a transformative year, shaped by persistent supply constraints and emerging demand trends.
This global outlook is built for retail food grocers, covering 13 key food and packaging commodities that directly impact grocery shelf prices, promotions, and margins - including coffee, cocoa, dairy, proteins, grains, oils, seafood, and core packaging materials such as glass and PET plastics.
Produced by Expana’s global price reporting team, the outlook connects late-2025 market conditions - from weather-driven supply disruptions to protein and grain market imbalances - with their expected impact on retail food pricing and sourcing in 2026. It also includes forward-looking price projections and market intelligence to help grocers anticipate cost movements, plan pricing strategies, and manage supplier risk across the US, EMEA, and Asia Pacific.
Expana’s forecasting team also provided additional market intelligence and 2026 price projections for the food commodities covered in this report.
Report as at: January 2026
Coffee
Cocoa
Milk
Beef
Pork
Chicken
Wheat / Corn
Palm Oil
Soybeans
Shrimp
Glass
PET Plastics
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Disclaimer
Any forward-looking statements are the views and expectations of the individual market participants. Expana does not have a forward-looking view within this report or associated content. To the extent legally permissible, Expana shall not be liable and disclaims and excludes any and all liability (whether direct or indirect), nor shall Expana be liable in contract, tort (including negligence), misrepresentation (whether innocent or negligent), restitution or otherwise. No information (whether written, electronic or oral) made available herein constitutes or is to be taken as constituting or the giving of investment or financial advice by Expana, or any of its affiliates or their employees to any person, organisation or entity. Any use or reliance on the information and any suggestions, insights or guidance made against such content is entirely at your own risk.
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