Lobster

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Lobster

Price movements

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Lobster, American Hard, 1¼ lbs. Quarters, FOB New England

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Lobster, American Hard, 1½ lbs. Halves, FOB New England

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Year-on-year Change

Lobster, American Hard, 1½ lbs. Halves, FOB Mid-Atlantic

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Year-on-year Change

Lobster Tails, American, 8-10 oz.

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Top 3 Takeaways

  1. Live lobster surging, tails collapsing: A stark bifurcation — whole hard shell lobsters are up modestly YoY (+1–4%) while lobster tails are down −28.46% YoY, reflecting oversupply of frozen tail product from prior-season harvests.
  2. Spring seasonal demand lifting whole lobster: All three whole lobster benchmarks jumped +5–9% MoM in March, consistent with seasonal spring restaurant demand ahead of Easter.
  3. Mid-Atlantic premium over New England narrowing: The FOB Mid-Atlantic price ($17.18) commands only a modest premium over New England ($16.90) for the same grade, suggesting strong buying activity across both regions.

US-Iran War Impact

  • Lower direct impact. The Gulf states are a growing market for premium US lobster — conflict disruption to this channel adds downward pressure. Higher diesel costs raise operating expenses for lobster fishing vessels and refrigerated trucking to distribution hubs in Boston and New York.
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Lobster

Price forecast

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Disclaimer

Any forward-looking statements are the views and expectations of the individual market participants. Expana does not have a forward-looking view within this report or associated content. To the extent legally permissible, Expana shall not be liable and disclaims and excludes any and all liability (whether direct or indirect), nor shall Expana be liable in contract, tort (including negligence), misrepresentation (whether innocent or negligent), restitution or otherwise. No information (whether written, electronic or oral) made available herein constitutes or is to be taken as constituting or the giving of investment or financial advice by Expana, or any of its affiliates or their employees to any person, organisation or entity. Any use or reliance on the information and any suggestions, insights or guidance made against such content is entirely at your own risk.

For details on the methodology used to assess the Expana Benchmark Prices, visit this link.