Glass

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Glass

Price movements (monthly)

UK

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Western Europe

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

US

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

  • The Expana Benchmark Prices (EBP) for Medium Glass Food Jar UK was £560.73/mt, up 0.6% m-o-m in July. The EBP for Medium Glass Food Jar Western Europe was €549.76/mt in July, down 3.1% m-o-m.
  • Manufacturing costs diverged between the UK and Western Europe, chiefly due to the relatively more severe drop-off in natural gas prices in Western Europe.
  • The Expana Benchmark Prices (EBP) for Medium Glass Food Jar US was $634.96/mt, up 0.3% m-o-m in July 2025.
  • The price rise was attributable to increased costs of cullet, sand and soda ash. Although natural gas prices fell throughout the month, electricity prices moved up, adding upward pressure to glass container manufacturing costs.
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Glass

Price drivers

UK Glass Waste Prices

Separate collection mixed glass waste was assessed at £79.00/MT in July, up 2.6% m-o-m. Export demand from Europe, particularly Spain, Portugal and Belgium, remains strong, with reprocessors and glass container manufacturers in those countries seeking glass waste to facilitate increased production in the glass markets. Post-container MRF glass waste was assessed down 5.3% m-o-m in July, at £36.00/MT.

Glass re-melt PRN prices increased throughout July and two months of decline, rising 3.8% m-o-m to £83.00/MT. Glass aggregate PRN prices were assessed at £72.00 in July, up 1.4% m-o-m. While most packaging materials have caught up with the obligation based on recent data releases, glass remains undersupplied in the PRN market, particularly glass aggregate. As such, sources anticipate volatile price movements throughout Q3 and Q4 as more fundamental data is released.

US Glass Waste Prices

Mixed color glass waste was $6.58/MT in July, a 0.5% m-o-m increase, representing a 5.3% y-o-y rise. Although demand remains robust, sources are uncertain about future demand prospects given the sluggishness of US glass container manufacturing.

↑ Raw Materials

The price of silica sand rose by 0.5% m-o-m to $55.70/MT in June (latest data), representing a 1.3% y-o-y decline. The price of soda ash increased by 2.5% m-o-m in July to $235.00/MT, representing a 1.1% y-o-y decrease. Demand for virgin raw materials is reportedly robust from glass manufacturers in Europe, where production of glass containers is rising. However, demand within China and the US is sluggish, according to market sources.

↓ Natural Gas

EU gas prices fell by 8.5% m-o-m in July to €33.86/MWh, representing a 4.4% y-o-y increase. Prices in the EU fell markedly throughout July in line with storage build and lower cooling demand following a decline in temperatures across the continent. US natural gas prices decreased by 9.6% m-o-m in July to $3.31/10Therm, representing a 49.8% y-o-y climb. Market drivers in the US were similar to the EU, with weekly stock levels increasing and cooling demand declining.

↓ Logistics

The shipping 40ft container composite fell by 21% m-o-m and 55% y-o-y to $2,651 per unit in July. The bulk of container loading already took place in April–June in anticipation of tariff increases, so demand for transportation declined in July. The peak season turned out to be short and weak, especially for small and medium-sized businesses, which are not prepared to pay higher duties. Despite seasonal growth on routes to Europe and the Mediterranean, excess capacity and logistical restructuring led to a decline in rates from June peaks.

→ Macroeconomic Environment

In the US, inflation accelerated 2.7% on an annualized basis in June, up from 2.4% in May. Energy services, including electricity and piped gas, were the main drivers behind the headline increase, registering a 7.5% y-o-y acceleration.

In the Eurozone, inflation edged up to 2.0% in June, up from 1.9% in May. The result is in line with the European Central Bank (ECB) target.

In China, inflation was 0.1% y-o-y, up from –0.1% in May and ending the 4-month period of deflation. Sources believe that the acceleration was attributable to recent government stimulus policies aimed at boosting domestic demand against the backdrop of declining export demand due to tariff uncertainty.

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Glass

Price forecast

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Glass

Market sentiment (for the month ahead)

Higher Demand, Falling Energy Costs

According to market sources, demand is increasing along seasonal norms, while supply remains ample. Players especially noted a more positive situation in the EU, where they note the market appears to be recovering, at least in the short term.

↓ Ample Availability

According to market sources, buyers are readily able to secure product, with ample availability noted. Manufacturers reported that there was especially production line availability for wine, beer and spirit bottles. Players, however, reported the recent news of another furnace closure in the US in the final week of July, due to persistent weak demand impacting operations in recent years.

→ Mixed Energy Costs

Cooling demand is falling due to a decrease in temperatures across the US and Europe, resulting in lower natural gas prices. However, electricity prices moved upwards throughout July.

↑ Seasonal Demand Rise

Market participants reported an increase in demand for glass containers and a climb in order levels due to higher summer demand. Although food jar demand has been consistent, orders for containers for alcoholic beverages are reportedly increased due to greater consumer demand for alcohol during the summer months.

→ Tariffs

Foreign trade remains uncertain due to the rapidly evolving tariff situation. However, the recent US-EU trade deal has added some confidence to the market, according to sources. Elsewhere, the major glass container trade route from China to Mexico remains complex, given the 35% tariff and 16% value-added tax (VAT) on China’s glass goods entering Mexico.

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Any forward-looking statements are the views and expectations of the individual market participants. Expana does not have a forward-looking view within this report or associated content. To the extent legally permissible, Expana shall not be liable and disclaims and excludes any and all liability (whether direct or indirect), nor shall Expana be liable in contract, tort (including negligence), misrepresentation (whether innocent or negligent), restitution or otherwise. No information (whether written, electronic or oral) made available herein constitutes or is to be taken as constituting or the giving of investment or financial advice by Expana, or any of its affiliates or their employees to any person, organisation or entity. Any use or reliance on the information and any suggestions, insights or guidance made against such content is entirely at your own risk.

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