Vitamin E
Vitamin E
Price movements (monthly)
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Vitamin E DDP China
Month-on-month Change
Year-on-year Change
Vitamin E DDP Europe
Month-on-month Change
Year-on-year Change
Vitamin E DDP US
Month-on-month Change
Year-on-year Change
Sea Freight
The shipping 40ft container composite decreased by 13%m-o-m and 57% y-o-y to $2,286 per unit in August. The decline in freight rates is explained by the fact that a significant portion of cargo was shipped in advance in July to avoid the August tariff deadlines, after which volumes fell sharply. Additional pressure is being exerted by the growth in container capacity, which has exacerbated the problem of global overcapacity. As a result, carriers have been unable to maintain prices, and rates on key routes continue to fall.
US Freight
In July, the average price of North America Truckload Linehaul Index decreased by 0.6% m-o-m and rose by 2.4% y-o-y to 140.80/Index.
There were fewer carriers than the market needed, and some of the transport capacity remained limited. At the same time, the total volume of transport decreased, but the share of more expensive full truckload (FTL) shipments increased, which pushed the index up. As a result, even with weak demand, tariffs did not fall but showed growth.
EU Freight
In July, the average price of European Road Freight increased by 0.2% M-O-M and rose by 2.4% Y-O-Y to 128.47 Index. Moderate recovery in demand amid stabilization of economic activity in the region continues to drive up logistics prices. In addition, improvements in the contract market have offset the decline in spot rates.
Vitamin E
Price forecast
The current price of Vitamin E EU is 5.85 EUR/kg, which remains within the fair band range of 2.5 to 6.5 EUR/kg. This price level results from a significant decline from the market peak in Q3 of 2024, when prices reached 20.25 EUR/kg.
The overall fundamental outlook continues to exert downward pressure on prices, as shown by the declining fair band range.
Since August 2024, the fair band range has been trending downward, reflecting ongoing weakness in market fundamentals. This consistent decline suggests that, despite short-term price fluctuations, the overall trend remains downward.
However, factors are also emerging that are pushing prices upward. From a seasonal standpoint, demand for Vitamin E generally increases in the second half of the year, which could temporarily support higher prices.
Supply of Vitamin E EU has decreased from a peak of 29,000 metric tons in 2019 to 20,000 metric tons in 2024. Demand has been rising in the EU since hitting a low of 16,600 metric tons in 2024, and it now exceeds its respective moving average.
From a technical analysis perspective, prices have risen from an early Q4 2025 low of 5.42 EUR/kg to 5.85 EUR/kg and are now very close to crossing above their respective moving averages. This suggests early signals of a potential market reversal of the ongoing downtrend, which began after the Q3 2024 peak at 20.25 EUR/kg.
In summary, while the current price is near the upper limit of the fair band, indicating a possible short-term dip, seasonal demand could help slow the ongoing decline.
Additionally, technical indicators suggest that the decline may be finding support at current levels, supporting a longer-term outlook of rising prices into 2026.
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