Conclusion
Expana’s UK Christmas Dinner Index underscores how vulnerable the UK’s food supply remains to biological and environmental shocks. From avian flu to heatwaves, the forces driving festive costs higher raise urgent questions over resilience and affordability.
The 2025 Christmas Dinner Index paints a broader picture of sustained inflationary momentum in the UK’s food sector, with noticeably higher price tags for festive staples compared to 2024.
The Main Meal Index saw an 18.63% Y-O-Y rise, mainly due to a marked 30.56% increase in turkey prices linked to avian influenza outbreaks and constrained availability.
The Yorkshire Pudding Index climbed 10.74% Y-O-Y, driven by surging egg prices despite declines in wheat and milk costs.
The Christmas Pudding Index had a 7.32% Y-O-Y rise, reflecting divergent movements in ingredients, such as falling butter and walnut prices offsetting increases for other items.
The Vegan Christmas Dinner Index showed the least volatility, rising by 2.8% Y-O-Y, underscoring the evolving market for plant-based holiday meal options.
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