Lamb

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Lamb

Price movements

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Lamb ddwt Y 17.5kg

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Lamb ddwt trd saleyard dom SA

100/kg

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Lamb ddwt lgt ref

100/kg

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Lamb ddwt 12–21.5kg mp

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Top 3 Takeaways

  1. Global lamb in a strong bull market: All four benchmarks are positive YoY — NZ +34%, AU +42%, EU +16%, UK +7% — driven by tight Southern Hemisphere supply and strong demand from Muslim-majority import markets.
  2. Southern Hemisphere leading the rally: NZ and AU lamb have nearly doubled from 2024 lows, reflecting drought-driven destocking followed by a demand-driven price recovery as flocks rebuild slowly.
  3. UK bouncing back: A +7.54% MoM surge brings UK lamb to its highest since early 2024, driven by seasonal spring lamb demand and improved export pricing.

US-Iran War Impact

  • Potentially significant. The Gulf states are among the world's largest lamb importers for Halal markets. Conflict-related economic disruption could suppress Gulf demand. Shipping routes through the Arabian Sea affect NZ/AU lamb exports to the Gulf. Conversely, disruption to local Middle Eastern lamb production could temporarily support global prices.
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Lamb

Price forecast

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Disclaimer

Any forward-looking statements are the views and expectations of the individual market participants. Expana does not have a forward-looking view within this report or associated content. To the extent legally permissible, Expana shall not be liable and disclaims and excludes any and all liability (whether direct or indirect), nor shall Expana be liable in contract, tort (including negligence), misrepresentation (whether innocent or negligent), restitution or otherwise. No information (whether written, electronic or oral) made available herein constitutes or is to be taken as constituting or the giving of investment or financial advice by Expana, or any of its affiliates or their employees to any person, organisation or entity. Any use or reliance on the information and any suggestions, insights or guidance made against such content is entirely at your own risk.

For details on the methodology used to assess the Expana Benchmark Prices, visit this link.