Methionine

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Methionine

Price movements (monthly)

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Methionine China

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

Methionine Europe

Month-on-month Change

Year-on-year Change

  • The Expana Global Packaging Category Index (ECI) changed insignificantly in August. Prices for metals used in packaging exerted growing pressure, especially in the US market, while raw materials for paper packaging production became cheaper. Paper and plastic packaging also became cheaper due to low demand.
  • The US Packaging Category Index (ECI) rose by 1% month-on-month (m-o-m) and 5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in August to $1,718/mt. A steady increase in the index has been observed since June, driven by tariff policy. The main growth driver is metal packaging, which was hit with 50% import tariffs.
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Methionine

Price forecast

The price of methionine is currently EUR 2.35 per kg, down from the high seen in Q3 of 2024, when pricing traded at 3.00 EUR/kg. This places the current price in the middle of the fair band, resulting in a neutral stance with no strong upward or downward pressure indicated by the overall fundamental position of the price.

However, it is also important to note that upward pressure is beginning to build from a fundamental perspective, as shown by the fair band's upward movement.

This has yet to translate into higher prices. Seasonal patterns in animal feed demand typically exert upward pressure in the second half of the year, especially in Q3–Q4, creating a window for potential modest price increases.

The European Methionine market is forecast to grow at a CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) of 9.7% from now until 2030, leading to a market valuation of USD 1.2 billion.

Methionine use is dominated by the animal feed sector, specifically the poultry sector, which accounts for more than 90% of production.

With poultry meat consumption continuing to rise, the long-term outlook remains strong with sustained demand for Methionine and related animal feed products.

From a global perspective, the Methionine supply currently matches demand, so any decline in supply could negatively impact prices.

In conclusion, as prices remain within the fair band, the fundamental pressure stays neutral for now. However, it is also important to recognize that the overall fair band is gradually rising from a low observed in Q3 of 2025. If this trend continues, it will support increasing prices in the long term.

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Any forward-looking statements are the views and expectations of the individual market participants. Expana does not have a forward-looking view within this report or associated content. To the extent legally permissible, Expana shall not be liable and disclaims and excludes any and all liability (whether direct or indirect), nor shall Expana be liable in contract, tort (including negligence), misrepresentation (whether innocent or negligent), restitution or otherwise. No information (whether written, electronic or oral) made available herein constitutes or is to be taken as constituting or the giving of investment or financial advice by Expana, or any of its affiliates or their employees to any person, organisation or entity. Any use or reliance on the information and any suggestions, insights or guidance made against such content is entirely at your own risk.

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